29 жовтня 2013 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Where are we headed from here?

This summary provides a brief outline of our view on Ukraine's macroeconomic state during the rest of 2013 and from 2014-16. Ukraine's geopolitical puzzle: Adding the missing parts. Uk

ICUQtlyReport-20131029-print.pdf  (3.4mb)

14 серпня 2013 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Muddling through no more

ICU's macroeconomic view on Ukraine in the forecast period of 2H13 and 2014-15 is summarised below. Ukraine's economy tired, nearly exhausted, and cornered. To paraphrase sports commen

ICUQtlyReport-20130814-print.pdf  (2.8mb)

31 січня 2013 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Keep the music playing

ICU's macroeconomic view on Ukraine in the forecasted three-year period of 2013-15 is summarised in the following viewpoints: Cornered, and with limited room for manoeuvre. Ukraine fin

ICUQtlyReport-20130131-print.pdf  (3.3mb)

24 липня 2012 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Stretched, but holding up

Global economy conditions and outlook revised downward. The global economy has still been adjusting after the economic and financial crisis of 2007-08 sent it reeling. While post-crisis adjustm

ICUQtlyReport-20120724.pdf  (1.8mb)

10 квітня 2012 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Pinned again?

Eventually, a slower pace of economic growth will be taking place in 2012, as the global economic slowdown materialises. Our base-case scenario envisages 2% YoY growth in both quarters of the 1H12, th

ICUQtlyReport-20120410.pdf  (5.2mb)

15 березня 2010 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Change at the gate

The economy is estimated to grow by 2.5% in FY10 in real terms, a lower rate than it would have grown if the domestic banking sector had functioned normally. Fiscal woes will be addressed by the new,

ICUQtlyReport-20100312.pdf  (1.1mb)

22 липня 2009 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Ukrainian jigsaw puzzle

Ukraine’s economy is set to adapt to a new norm of functioning, while the global economy re-balances, via a deep recession that is likely to last till the end of this year. A combination of prolonged

ICUQtlyReport-20090709.pdf  (894.5kb)