Макроекономіка

24 травня 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

A quiet recovery

Below is a brief overview of our base-case scenario of Ukraine's economy for 2016-18. State of the economy: The economy will recover, albeit slowly. Our analysis of the monthly data o ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160524.pdf  (1.3mb)

1 березня 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Fortifying a fragile economy

This is a summary of our macro view for the next three-year period of 2016-18. Recent economic performance: Out of recession and resuming recovery. On February 15th, official statistic ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160301.pdf  (1.7mb)

1 жовтня 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Militarism fronts economic faults

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for rest of 2015 and 2016-18. Ukraine's domestic politics. The most recent developments in the parliament show that the incum ...

ICUQtlyReport-20151001.pdf  (1.3mb)

17 червня 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

17 червня 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

30 квітня 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

USD super rally fades, its meaning for UAH

Yesterday's global financial markets' reaction to US statistics results once again underscored the trend that has evolved since late March and early April. As the US economy slowed in 1Q, the US Fed i ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150430.pdf  (380kb)

10 квітня 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

The meaning of the ruble's appreciation

The Russian ruble has rallied impressively recently. In April, it rose 12.0%, up more than one-third from this year's low seen at the end of January when the Ukraine-Russia military standoff in Donbas ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150410.pdf  (494.2kb)

20 березня 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

What economic activity indicators reveal

In February’s monthly statistics on Ukraine's key economic sectors published this week, all sectors, including agriculture, declined year-on-year on the basis of raw data. However, upon closer analysi ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150320.pdf  (322.1kb)