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Macroeconomics

10 November 2016 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

What President-elect Trump’s victory means for Ukraine's economy

What President-elect Trump’s victory means for Ukraine's economy Below, we offer our interpenetration of the rhetoric of US President-elect Donald Trump and his economic advisors during the campaign ...

ICUMacroInsight-20161110.pdf  (288.8kb)

17 October 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

The patched road to reconstruction

Below is a brief overview of our base case scenario of Ukraine's economy for rest of 2016 and 2017-18. The economy: Growth momentum built in 2H15 receded in 1H16, amidst small fiscal stim ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160925-print.pdf  (1.5mb)

24 May 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

A quiet recovery

Below is a brief overview of our base-case scenario of Ukraine's economy for 2016-18. State of the economy: The economy will recover, albeit slowly. Our analysis of the monthly data o ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160524.pdf  (1.3mb)

1 March 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Fortifying a fragile economy

This is a summary of our macro view for the next three-year period of 2016-18. Recent economic performance: Out of recession and resuming recovery. On February 15th, official statistic ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160301.pdf  (1.7mb)

1 October 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Militarism fronts economic faults

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for rest of 2015 and 2016-18. Ukraine's domestic politics. The most recent developments in the parliament show that the incum ...

ICUQtlyReport-20151001.pdf  (1.3mb)

17 June 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

17 June 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

30 April 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

USD super rally fades, its meaning for UAH

Yesterday's global financial markets' reaction to US statistics results once again underscored the trend that has evolved since late March and early April. As the US economy slowed in 1Q, the US Fed i ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150430.pdf  (380kb)